Cleveland Guardians
85-77
Chicago White Sox
84-78
Win Probability
Moneyline
CLE
45.3% win prob
Moneyline
CHW
54.7% win prob
Projected score
1.9 – 2.2
The Cleveland Guardians visit the Chicago White Sox in a matchup the simulation favours slightly toward the hosts. Kyle Manzardo has a 50% chance to record a hit, while the White Sox's run environment projects to be marginal across the field. AccuScore's model has returned 49% on the win side of games shaped like this one across 6,350 graded matchups—a small structural disadvantage that persists even when the lean is correct. For Cleveland to pull the upset, they would need to generate offensive pressure early and limit Chicago's ability to manufacture runs in close moments.
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago White Sox 55% to beat Cleveland Guardians (45%). Projected score: Cleveland Guardians 1.9, Chicago White Sox 2.2.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago White Sox the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago White Sox a 55% chance of beating Cleveland Guardians, against 45% for Cleveland Guardians. Chicago White Sox are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Cleveland Guardians 1.9, Chicago White Sox 2.2.