Los Angeles Dodgers
100-62
Atlanta Braves
94-68
Win Probability
Moneyline
LAD
57.4% win prob
Moneyline
ATL
42.6% win prob
Projected score
3.1 – 2.7
The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Atlanta Braves in a matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors. Scoring will likely be tight—AccuScore projects a one-run separation—and the game hinges on whether either lineup can break through; across eight statistically similar past games, the model's side won just 3 of them. Both offenses will be tested by opposing pitching, though the margin for error is thin enough that marginal differences in execution compound quickly. AccuScore's record on games shaped like this one stands at 49% over 16,000 graded National League contests. The Braves would need to hold the Dodgers' bats in check and manufacture runs despite similarly modest offensive projections for the game to overtake the expected outcome.
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 57% to beat Atlanta Braves (43%). Projected score: Los Angeles Dodgers 3.1, Atlanta Braves 2.7.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Atlanta Braves a 43% chance of beating Los Angeles Dodgers, against 57% for Los Angeles Dodgers. Atlanta Braves are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Los Angeles Dodgers 3.1, Atlanta Braves 2.7.