Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
Win Probability
Moneyline
SEA
+400
12.5% win prob
EV -18.8%
Betfair
Draw
Draw
+360
21% prob
EV -2.4%
Betfair
Moneyline
VAN
-154
66.8% win prob
EV +5.1%
Betano
When Seattle Sounders visit Vancouver Whitecaps, the simulation decisively favours the home side. Vancouver's attack is projected to dominate; the model expects the Whitecaps to score north of two goals, with that defensive burden falling on a Sounders outfit projected below one. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way—where the home team carries a decisive advantage—stands at 53% over 3,149 graded matchups. For Seattle to escape with a result, it would need to compress Vancouver's scoring opportunities and convert on limited chances of its own.
| Book | SEA | EV | Draw | EV | VAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +365 | -20.9% | +345 | -3.9% | -161 | +4.1% |
| Betfair ↗ | +400 | -18.8% | +360 | -2.4% | -200 | +0.1% |
| Betano ↗ | +370 | -20.6% | +335 | -5.0% | -154 | +5.1% |
| William Hill ↗ | +360 | -21.3% | +320 | -6.5% | -182 | +1.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.5 | +118 | -7.2% | -147 | +1.0% |
| Betano ↗ | 3.5 | +110 | -8.7% | -128 | +4.1% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 66.8%
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MLS
AccuScore's simulation makes Vancouver Whitecaps 67% to win, Seattle Sounders 13%, with a 21% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vancouver Whitecaps the more likely winner at 67%, with a 21% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Vancouver Whitecaps a 67% chance of beating Seattle Sounders, with 13% for Seattle Sounders and 21% for a draw. Vancouver Whitecaps are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Seattle Sounders and Vancouver Whitecaps come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Seattle Sounders have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-D-D-L-W, most recent first).
Vancouver Whitecaps have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 2 (W-L-W-D-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2017: Seattle Sounders 9, Vancouver Whitecaps 5, 8 drawn. The last meeting, on Aug 16, 2026, finished Vancouver Whitecaps 2, Seattle Sounders 0.