Chicago White Sox
84-78
Cleveland Guardians
85-77
Win Probability
Moneyline
CHW
41.1% win prob
Moneyline
CLE
58.9% win prob
Projected score
1.9 – 2.5
The Chicago White Sox travel to Cleveland to face the Guardians in a matchup the simulation favours clearly for the home side. Patrick Bailey has a 50% chance of recording a hit, and the game's outcome hinges on whether Cleveland's offence can capitalize early—the over has a 50% probability. AccuScore's record on games shaped like this one shows a 49% win rate across 6,351 prior matchups. For Chicago to pull the upset, the White Sox would need to limit damage before their lineup finds its timing against Cleveland's pitching.
1st 5 Innings — AccuScore Projection
F5 CHW
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F5 Total
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F5 CLE
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| Book | Line | CLE | EV | CHW | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +1.5 | -286 | -18.2% | +224 | +35.6% |
| bet365 ↗ | +1.5 | -286 | -18.2% | +202 | +29.8% |
| Marathon ↗ | +1.5 | -303 | -18.7% | +210 | +31.9% |
| 1xBet ↗ | +1.5 | -303 | -18.7% | +210 | +31.9% |
| Betano ↗ | +1.5 | -303 | -18.7% | +210 | +31.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 6.5 | -122 | -29.2% | +106 | +29.4% |
| Betfair ↗ | 6.5 | -110 | -28.1% | -105 | +25.3% |
| bet365 ↗ | 6.5 | -120 | -29.0% | +100 | +27.1% |
| BetVictor ↗ | 6.5 | -133 | -29.9% | -107 | +24.6% |
| Marathon ↗ | 6.5 | -127 | -29.5% | +100 | +27.1% |
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Cleveland Guardians 59% to beat Chicago White Sox (41%). Projected score: Chicago White Sox 1.9, Cleveland Guardians 2.5.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Cleveland Guardians the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Cleveland Guardians a 59% chance of beating Chicago White Sox, against 41% for Chicago White Sox. Cleveland Guardians are at home and favoured on these numbers.
AccuScore projects Chicago White Sox 1.9, Cleveland Guardians 2.5.