Liverpool
Fenerbahçe
Win Probability
Liverpool travel to Fenerbahçe in a Champions League fixture where the simulation favours the visitors. The model projects a narrow Liverpool victory, with the combined score likely to exceed the market's total in 61% of simulations. On games shaped like this one—away sides with a modest lean—AccuScore's record stands at 61% over 432 graded matchups. For Fenerbahçe to overturn that lean, they would need to control possession in stretches and convert the chances that come from Liverpool's willingness to play on the break.
| Book | FEN | EV | LIV | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +360 | +7.5% | -154 | -5.8% |
| Betfair ↗ | +360 | +7.5% | -161 | -6.6% |
| Betano ↗ | +365 | +8.1% | -149 | -5.2% |
| bet365 ↗ | +350 | +6.3% | -154 | -5.8% |
| William Hill ↗ | +350 | +6.3% | -154 | -5.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.5 | +122 | +17.1% | -152 | -17.2% |
| Betfair ↗ | 2.5 | -222 | +7.3% | +155 | -23.2% |
| Betano ↗ | 3.5 | +127 | +18.6% | -149 | -17.0% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | +120 | +16.5% | -149 | -17.0% |
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Champions League
AccuScore's simulation makes Liverpool 54% to win, Fenerbahçe 25%, with a 21% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Liverpool the more likely winner at 54%, with a 21% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Fenerbahçe a 25% chance of beating Liverpool, with 54% for Liverpool and 21% for a draw. Fenerbahçe are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Liverpool and Fenerbahçe come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Liverpool have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
Fenerbahçe have won 0 of their last 2, drawing 1 (D-L, most recent first).