Serie A • Sat, Nov 7, 17:00
Bologna travels to Parma with the simulation clearly favoring the visitors. Across 50,000 simulations, a 0–0 draw emerged most frequently at 21%, though Bologna's projected volume of chances should create scoring chances Parma will struggle to match. The fixture hinges on whether Parma can compress space enough to keep Bologna from converting the differential in expected output into goals.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes Bologna 45% to win, Parma 19%, with a 36% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Bologna the more likely winner at 45%, with a 36% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Parma a 19% chance of beating Bologna, with 45% for Bologna and 36% for a draw. Parma are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Bologna and Parma come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Bologna have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
Parma have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 1 (D-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 10 times since 2018: Bologna 4, Parma 2, 4 drawn. The last meeting, on Feb 8, 2026, finished Parma 1, Bologna 0.