MLS • Sat, Nov 7, 21:00
Columbus Crew travel to Chicago Fire in a tight contest where the Fire hold a slight advantage in the simulation. The outcome hinges on offensive execution: Chicago will need to convert chances at a higher rate than the projected 1.6 goals, while Columbus must generate more than their modeled 1.4 to pull off the road win. AccuScore's model has returned 56% on similar win-probability calls across 769 graded games, though in eight other matchups with this statistical shape, the favored side won six times.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
MLS
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Fire 40% to win, Columbus Crew 33%, with a 27% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Fire the more likely winner at 40%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Fire a 40% chance of beating Columbus Crew, with 33% for Columbus Crew and 27% for a draw. Chicago Fire are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Columbus Crew have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Chicago Fire have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-D-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 19 times since 2017: Columbus Crew 9, Chicago Fire 4, 6 drawn. The last meeting, on Mar 8, 2026, finished Chicago Fire 0, Columbus Crew 0.