MLS • Sat, Nov 7, 21:00
New York City travels to face DC United in a matchup where the simulation favors the visiting side. Across 50,000 simulations, the model leans toward New York City, projecting a low-scoring affair that hinges on converting limited chances. For DC United to pull the upset at home, they would need to tighten their defensive shape and capitalize on set pieces, as the projected score suggests both sides will struggle to create many clear-cut opportunities.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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MLS
AccuScore's simulation makes New York City 49% to win, DC United 23%, with a 29% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York City the more likely winner at 49%, with a 29% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives DC United a 23% chance of beating New York City, with 49% for New York City and 29% for a draw. DC United are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How New York City and DC United come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
New York City have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 3 (D-W-D-D-L, most recent first).
DC United have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 18 times since 2017: New York City 7, DC United 6, 5 drawn. The last meeting, on May 3, 2026, finished DC United 2, New York City 0.