MLS • Sat, Nov 7, 21:00
New York RB hosts Atlanta United in a matchup where the simulation strongly favors the home side. The outcome hinges on Atlanta's ability to generate chances despite traveling to a hostile environment—both teams project to score, but New York is expected to convert at a higher rate. For Atlanta to upset the projection, it would need to break that pattern and force New York into uncharacteristic inefficiency.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
MLS
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Red Bulls 71% to win, Atlanta Utd 13%, with a 17% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Red Bulls the more likely winner at 71%, with a 17% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Red Bulls a 71% chance of beating Atlanta Utd, with 13% for Atlanta Utd and 17% for a draw. New York Red Bulls are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Atlanta Utd and New York Red Bulls come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Atlanta Utd have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
New York Red Bulls have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 17 times since 2017: Atlanta Utd 4, New York Red Bulls 7, 6 drawn. The last meeting, on Aug 15, 2026, finished New York Red Bulls 1, Atlanta Utd 2.