Milwaukee Brewers
103-59
Los Angeles Dodgers
100-62
Win Probability
Moneyline
MIL
40.9% win prob
Moneyline
LAD
59.1% win prob
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the home side. Tyler Glasnow projects to strike out 13.0 batters, and Shohei Ohtani carries a 26% chance of a home run—both figures suggest Los Angeles's pitching and pop could control the game's shape. The outcome turns on whether Milwaukee's offence can generate enough against Glasnow; across eight similar games in AccuScore's record, each side won four. For the Brewers to pull off the upset, they would need to beat those strikeout projections and keep Ohtani off the board.
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 59% to beat Milwaukee Brewers (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Dodgers a 59% chance of beating Milwaukee Brewers, against 41% for Milwaukee Brewers. Los Angeles Dodgers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 105 times since 2010: Milwaukee Brewers 53, Los Angeles Dodgers 52. The last meeting, on Aug 16, 2026, finished Milwaukee Brewers 6, Los Angeles Dodgers 2.
Milwaukee Brewers are 762-555 as favourite and 498-594 as underdog, and 592-625 on the road (49% of 1217 games, 2010–2026).
Los Angeles Dodgers are 1275-814 as favourite and 187-249 as underdog, and 796-486 at home (62% of 1282 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | MIL | LAD |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 762-555 | 1275-814 |
| As underdog | 498-594 | 187-249 |
| At home | 688-547 | 796-486 |
| On the road | 592-625 | 675-589 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the MLB odds have moved →