Milwaukee Brewers
103-59
Los Angeles Dodgers
100-62
Win Probability
Moneyline
MIL
41.1% win prob
Moneyline
LAD
58.9% win prob
The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the home side. Shohei Ohtani projects to reach base in 38% of this game, while Tarik Skubal is expected to strike out 12 batters—the kind of dominant pitching performance the visitors will need to steal a road win. The game likely turns on whether Los Angeles can generate enough offense; Ohtani also carries a 23% chance of a home run. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way stands at 49% over 6,353 graded matchups. The Brewers' path to victory runs through keeping Dodgers hitters off balance and staying patient at the plate.
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 59% to beat Milwaukee Brewers (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Dodgers a 59% chance of beating Milwaukee Brewers, against 41% for Milwaukee Brewers. Los Angeles Dodgers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 105 times since 2010: Milwaukee Brewers 53, Los Angeles Dodgers 52. The last meeting, on Aug 16, 2026, finished Milwaukee Brewers 6, Los Angeles Dodgers 2.
Milwaukee Brewers are 762-555 as favourite and 498-594 as underdog, and 592-625 on the road (49% of 1217 games, 2010–2026).
Los Angeles Dodgers are 1275-814 as favourite and 187-249 as underdog, and 796-486 at home (62% of 1282 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | MIL | LAD |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 762-555 | 1275-814 |
| As underdog | 498-594 | 187-249 |
| At home | 688-547 | 796-486 |
| On the road | 592-625 | 675-589 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the MLB odds have moved →