Milwaukee Brewers
103-59
Los Angeles Dodgers
100-62
Win Probability
Moneyline
MIL
40.9% win prob
Moneyline
LAD
59.0% win prob
The Milwaukee Brewers travel to face the Los Angeles Dodgers in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the home side. On 10,000 simulations, Los Angeles's pitching staff projects to keep Milwaukee's lineup in check, a particularly critical outcome given that the game hinges on run prevention rather than explosive scoring. In similar win-probability spots across eight other games, AccuScore's model went 4-4, a reminder that slight home favorites land on the wrong side of results half the time. For Milwaukee to pull off the upset, one of their bats would need to break through and sustain pressure across multiple innings—a tall order against a Dodgers rotation built to avoid that exact scenario.
MLB
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers 59% to beat Milwaukee Brewers (41%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Los Angeles Dodgers the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Los Angeles Dodgers a 59% chance of beating Milwaukee Brewers, against 41% for Milwaukee Brewers. Los Angeles Dodgers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 105 times since 2010: Milwaukee Brewers 53, Los Angeles Dodgers 52. The last meeting, on Aug 16, 2026, finished Milwaukee Brewers 6, Los Angeles Dodgers 2.
Milwaukee Brewers are 762-555 as favourite and 498-594 as underdog, and 592-625 on the road (49% of 1217 games, 2010–2026).
Los Angeles Dodgers are 1275-814 as favourite and 187-249 as underdog, and 796-486 at home (62% of 1282 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | MIL | LAD |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 762-555 | 1275-814 |
| As underdog | 498-594 | 187-249 |
| At home | 688-547 | 796-486 |
| On the road | 592-625 | 675-589 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the MLB odds have moved →