Seattle Kraken
2-2
Washington Capitals
2-1
Win Probability
Moneyline
SEA
31.5% win prob
Moneyline
WAS
68.5% win prob
When Seattle Kraken visits Washington Capitals, the simulation clearly favours the home side. Dylan Strome and Jakob Chychrun both project above 47% to record more than 0.5 points, while Jared McCann sits at 43%—a narrow margin that encapsulates how tight the scoring could be. The game hinges on whether Seattle's depth can match Washington's secondary contributions; Vince Dunn checks in at only 35% for a point. AccuScore's model has returned minus-0.3% on home-favourite calls shaped like this one across nearly 2,000 games, a reminder that comfort rarely translates to profit. For Seattle to pull the upset, it will need its secondary scorers to exceed expectation while containing the Capitals' mid-lineup production.
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals 69% to beat Seattle Kraken (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Washington Capitals the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Washington Capitals a 69% chance of beating Seattle Kraken, against 32% for Seattle Kraken. Washington Capitals are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Seattle Kraken and Washington Capitals come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Seattle Kraken have won 2 of their last 4 (L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Washington Capitals have won 2 of their last 3 (W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2021: Seattle Kraken 1, Washington Capitals 1. The last meeting, on Mar 5, 2022, finished Seattle Kraken 2, Washington Capitals 5.
Seattle Kraken are 8-9 as favourite and 19-46 as underdog, and 11-30 on the road (27% of 41 games, 2021–2022).
Washington Capitals are 358-219 as favourite and 122-130 as underdog, and 256-164 at home (61% of 420 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | SEA | WAS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 8-9 | 358-219 |
| As underdog | 19-46 | 122-130 |
| At home | 16-25 | 256-164 |
| On the road | 11-30 | 234-190 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →