Serie A • Sun, Nov 8, 14:00
When AC Milan travel to face Genoa, the simulation leans clearly toward the visitors. For Genoa to overturn that lean, they would need to capitalize on set pieces or transition moments to score early and force Milan into chasing the game.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes AC Milan 51% to win, Genoa 19%, with a 30% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes AC Milan the more likely winner at 51%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Genoa a 19% chance of beating AC Milan, with 51% for AC Milan and 30% for a draw. Genoa are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How AC Milan and Genoa come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-L-W-W-D, most recent first).
Genoa have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 16 times since 2017: AC Milan 10, Genoa 1, 5 drawn. The last meeting, on May 17, 2026, finished AC Milan 2, Genoa 1.