Serie A • Sun, Nov 8, 14:00
Atalanta travels to Monza in a fixture where the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors. The contest turns on whether either team can break through; the projected combined score suggests a low-scoring contest is more probable than high-scoring affairs. For Monza to overcome the lean, it would need to tighten its defense in the final third and convert chances at a rate the model does not expect.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes Atalanta 43% to win, Monza 29%, with a 28% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Atalanta the more likely winner at 43%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Monza a 29% chance of beating Atalanta, with 43% for Atalanta and 28% for a draw. Monza are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Atalanta and Monza come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Atalanta have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-D-L-W-L, most recent first).
Monza have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 5 times since 2022: Atalanta 5, Monza 0. The last meeting, on May 4, 2025, finished Atalanta 4, Monza 0.