Deportivo Alavés
Sevilla
Win Probability
Moneyline
ALA
+310
58.9% win prob
EV +70.7%
bet365
Draw
Draw
+240
26% prob
EV -5.8%
bet365
Moneyline
SEV
+111
15.1% win prob
EV -34.1%
Pinnacle
Deportivo Alavés travels to Sevilla in a fixture where the simulation decisively favors the visiting side. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with a 1–0 scoreline appearing in 15% of simulations; stopping Alavés' attack will be central to any Sevilla upset. Over similar matchups, AccuScore has backed the away side 74% of the time across 277 graded games. For Sevilla to overturn the projection at home, they would need to tighten their defence and convert chances at a rate the model does not anticipate.
| Book | ALA | EV | Draw | EV | SEV | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +269 | +58.7% | +226 | -7.6% | +111 | -34.1% |
| Betfair ↗ | +280 | +61.9% | +230 | -7.1% | -105 | -35.3% |
| Betano ↗ | +310 | +70.7% | +240 | -5.8% | -105 | -35.3% |
| bet365 ↗ | +310 | +70.7% | +240 | -5.8% | -111 | -35.6% |
| William Hill ↗ | +280 | +61.9% | +225 | -7.8% | -105 | -35.3% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 2.5 | +125 | +0.2% | -152 | -4.1% |
| Betano ↗ | 2.5 | +122 | -0.5% | -143 | -2.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | +120 | -1.0% | -149 | -3.7% |
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La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Deportivo Alavés 59% to win, Sevilla 15%, with a 26% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Deportivo Alavés the more likely winner at 59%, with a 26% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Sevilla a 15% chance of beating Deportivo Alavés, with 59% for Deportivo Alavés and 26% for a draw. Sevilla are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Deportivo Alavés and Sevilla come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-L-L-D-W, most recent first).
Sevilla have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-D-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 16 times since 2018: Deportivo Alavés 4, Sevilla 6, 6 drawn. The last meeting, on Feb 14, 2026, finished Deportivo Alavés 1, Sevilla 1.