Serie A • Sun, Nov 8, 19:45
Juventus travels to Florence to face Fiorentina in a Serie A fixture where the simulation strongly favors the home side. For Juventus to overcome that lean, their visiting defense would need to hold firm; Fiorentina's ability to convert chances will likely prove decisive.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes Fiorentina 53% to win, Juventus 19%, with a 28% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Fiorentina the more likely winner at 53%, with a 28% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Fiorentina a 53% chance of beating Juventus, with 19% for Juventus and 28% for a draw. Fiorentina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Juventus and Fiorentina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Juventus have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-W-L-D-W, most recent first).
Fiorentina have won 0 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-L-L-L-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2014: Juventus 13, Fiorentina 5, 6 drawn. The last meeting, on May 17, 2026, finished Fiorentina 2, Juventus 0.