Philadelphia Flyers
0-5
Detroit Red Wings
1-3
Win Probability
The Detroit Red Wings host the Philadelphia Flyers in a matchup that AccuScore's simulation leans slightly toward the home side. Travis Konecny has a 44% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, while Alex DeBrincat projects at 50%, and Lucas Raymond at 47%. The game turns on scoring depth: Detroit has five players with at least 40% projection equity across their lineup, whereas Philadelphia's offensive contribution concentrates more narrowly. On similar games, AccuScore's lean toward the home team has gone 50-50 over 1,738 prior matchups. The Flyers would need to generate secondary scoring beyond Konecny to force a result against Detroit's distributed offensive threat.
| Book | DET | EV | PHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -138 | -2.9% | +133 | +2.9% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings 55% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (45%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings the more likely winner at 55%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Detroit Red Wings a 55% chance of beating Philadelphia Flyers, against 45% for Philadelphia Flyers. Detroit Red Wings are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Philadelphia Flyers and Detroit Red Wings come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Philadelphia Flyers have won 0 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-L, most recent first).
Detroit Red Wings have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 22 times since 2012: Philadelphia Flyers 14, Detroit Red Wings 8. The last meeting, on Mar 22, 2022, finished Philadelphia Flyers 3, Detroit Red Wings 6.
Philadelphia Flyers are 188-144 as favourite and 177-261 as underdog, and 161-227 on the road (41% of 388 games, 2011–2022).
Detroit Red Wings are 143-115 as favourite and 173-320 as underdog, and 180-200 at home (47% of 380 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | PHI | DET |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 188-144 | 143-115 |
| As underdog | 177-261 | 173-320 |
| At home | 207-185 | 180-200 |
| On the road | 161-227 | 141-240 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →