Utah Mammoth
4-2
Edmonton Oilers
4-0
Win Probability
Edmonton Oilers host Utah Mammoth in a matchup the simulation leans toward the home side to win. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl project as reliable contributors, each carrying a 73–75% chance of recording more than 0.5 points, while Clayton Keller offers Utah's best scoring hope at 72%. The game hinges on whether Utah can generate enough offence to match Edmonton's depth; Utah Mammoth will need secondary scoring beyond Keller to pull out a road win, since AccuScore has gone 50–50 over 1,738 similar home-favourite matchups.
| Book | EDM | EV | UTA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -122 | +1.6% | +120 | -2.4% |
NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 57% to beat Utah Mammoth (43%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Edmonton Oilers a 57% chance of beating Utah Mammoth, against 43% for Utah Mammoth. Edmonton Oilers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Utah Mammoth and Edmonton Oilers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Edmonton Oilers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Edmonton Oilers are 170-130 as favourite and 184-284 as underdog, and 190-196 at home (49% of 386 games, 2011–2022).
| Record | UTA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | — | 170-130 |
| As underdog | — | 184-284 |
| At home | — | 190-196 |
| On the road | — | 167-226 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →