NBA • Fri, Oct 23, 01:30
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma City Thunder 63% to beat Denver Nuggets (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Oklahoma City Thunder the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Oklahoma City Thunder a 63% chance of beating Denver Nuggets, against 37% for Denver Nuggets. Oklahoma City Thunder are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Oklahoma City Thunder have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
The teams have met 73 times since 2010: Denver Nuggets 33, Oklahoma City Thunder 40. The last meeting, on Apr 10, 2026, finished Oklahoma City Thunder 107, Denver Nuggets 127.
Denver Nuggets are 546-250 as favourite and 206-319 as underdog, and 327-366 on the road (47% of 693 games, 2010–2026).
Oklahoma City Thunder are 679-251 as favourite and 160-271 as underdog, and 492-221 at home (69% of 713 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | DEN | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 546-250 | 679-251 |
| As underdog | 206-319 | 160-271 |
| At home | 468-227 | 492-221 |
| On the road | 327-366 | 377-331 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →