Chicago Bulls
0-1
Milwaukee Bucks
0-1
Win Probability
The Chicago Bulls travel to face the Milwaukee Bucks in a matchup the simulation views as a coin-flip. Both offences will need to generate pace to crack 120 points; AccuScore projects the Bulls at 120.2 and the Bucks at 118.9, with the over hitting in just over half of its 50,000 trials. On games shaped this way—true toss-ups between visiting and hosting sides—the model's record stands at 50% across 1,328 graded contests. Similar win-probability patterns have favoured the home team in 6 of 8 comparable matchups. For Chicago to steal this one, its offence would need to sustain the pace required to reach that 120-point projection while forcing Milwaukee into a slower rhythm than the simulation expects.
| Book | Line | MIL | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | -1.5 | +102 | -6.7% | -111 | +4.3% |
| Book | MIL | EV | CHI | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -112 | -3.1% | -107 | -1.3% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -109 | -2.4% | -105 | -0.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| novig | 238.5 | +100 | +1.6% | -106 | -3.0% |
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Bulls 50% to beat Milwaukee Bucks (50%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Chicago Bulls the more likely winner at 50%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Milwaukee Bucks a 50% chance of beating Chicago Bulls, against 50% for Chicago Bulls. Milwaukee Bucks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Chicago Bulls and Milwaukee Bucks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Chicago Bulls have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
Milwaukee Bucks have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met 74 times since 2010: Chicago Bulls 34, Milwaukee Bucks 40. The last meeting, on Mar 1, 2026, finished Milwaukee Bucks 97, Chicago Bulls 120.
Chicago Bulls are 400-201 as favourite and 229-432 as underdog, and 294-366 on the road (45% of 660 games, 2010–2026).
Milwaukee Bucks are 511-250 as favourite and 172-370 as underdog, and 418-264 at home (61% of 682 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | CHI | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 400-201 | 511-250 |
| As underdog | 229-432 | 172-370 |
| At home | 364-299 | 418-264 |
| On the road | 294-366 | 306-377 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →