Atlanta Hawks
1-0
Charlotte Hornets
1-0
Win Probability
The Charlotte Hornets host the Atlanta Hawks in a matchup where the model leans clearly toward the home side. This game turns on three-point shooting: if Atlanta's perimeter game stays cold, Charlotte's offensive spacing advantage grows decisive. AccuScore's simulation favors similar spots at 55% over 1,229 graded games. For the Hawks to pull the upset, they would need to win the turnover battle decisively and keep Charlotte's role players from finding rhythm behind the arc.
| Book | CHA | EV | ATL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +124 | +23.0% | -148 | -20.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +127 | +24.0% | -145 | -20.7% |
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Charlotte Hornets 65% to beat Atlanta Hawks (35%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Charlotte Hornets the more likely winner at 65%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Charlotte Hornets a 65% chance of beating Atlanta Hawks, against 35% for Atlanta Hawks. Charlotte Hornets are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Atlanta Hawks and Charlotte Hornets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Atlanta Hawks have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
Charlotte Hornets have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
The teams have met 62 times since 2010: Atlanta Hawks 34, Charlotte Hornets 28. The last meeting, on Feb 11, 2026, finished Atlanta Hawks 107, Charlotte Hornets 110.
Atlanta Hawks are 400-211 as favourite and 246-445 as underdog, and 286-402 on the road (42% of 688 games, 2010–2026).
Charlotte Hornets are 247-133 as favourite and 244-592 as underdog, and 293-346 at home (46% of 639 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | ATL | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 400-211 | 247-133 |
| As underdog | 246-445 | 244-592 |
| At home | 394-286 | 293-346 |
| On the road | 286-402 | 218-427 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →