NBA • Sat, Oct 24, 00:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
Free members get the daily Gold Pick delivered by email.
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Miami Heat 58% to beat Detroit Pistons (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Miami Heat the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Miami Heat a 58% chance of beating Detroit Pistons, against 42% for Detroit Pistons. Miami Heat are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Detroit Pistons and Miami Heat come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Detroit Pistons have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
Miami Heat have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met 54 times since 2010: Detroit Pistons 18, Miami Heat 36. The last meeting, on Mar 8, 2026, finished Detroit Pistons 110, Miami Heat 121.
Detroit Pistons are 270-170 as favourite and 225-566 as underdog, and 205-442 on the road (32% of 647 games, 2010–2026).
Miami Heat are 587-271 as favourite and 207-298 as underdog, and 469-243 at home (66% of 712 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | DET | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 270-170 | 587-271 |
| As underdog | 225-566 | 207-298 |
| At home | 305-343 | 469-243 |
| On the road | 205-442 | 363-353 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →