Houston Rockets
1-0
San Antonio Spurs
0-1
Win Probability
The Houston Rockets travel to San Antonio Spurs in a coin-flip contest that hinges on perimeter shooting. The simulation leans marginally toward Houston, but these teams are separated by less than two points in the projected final score. Across eight similar games in AccuScore's history, the favored side won six times. Both offenses will need their role players to stay efficient: how well each team's supporting cast converts from distance will likely decide this one. If San Antonio's bench can establish a rhythm early, the Spurs have every chance to flip the outcome.
| Book | SA | EV | HOU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -250 | -15.7% | +217 | +30.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -245 | -15.5% | +212 | +29.6% |
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NBA
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Rockets 51% to beat San Antonio Spurs (49%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Houston Rockets the more likely winner at 51%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives San Antonio Spurs a 49% chance of beating Houston Rockets, against 51% for Houston Rockets. San Antonio Spurs are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Houston Rockets and San Antonio Spurs come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Houston Rockets have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).
San Antonio Spurs have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
The teams have met 68 times since 2010: Houston Rockets 31, San Antonio Spurs 37. The last meeting, on Mar 8, 2026, finished Houston Rockets 120, San Antonio Spurs 145.
Houston Rockets are 542-249 as favourite and 177-334 as underdog, and 306-375 on the road (45% of 681 games, 2010–2026).
San Antonio Spurs are 635-212 as favourite and 162-312 as underdog, and 464-224 at home (67% of 688 games, 2010–2026).
| Record | HOU | SA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 542-249 | 635-212 |
| As underdog | 177-334 | 162-312 |
| At home | 432-255 | 464-224 |
| On the road | 306-375 | 348-347 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →