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← Today's Edges
NBA•Sat, Oct 24 • 1:30 AM
NO

New Orleans Pelicans

0-1

VS
UT

Utah Jazz

0-1

Win Probability

Moneyline

NO

+143

58.0% win prob

EV +20.5%

Polymarket

Moneyline

UT

-164

42.0% win prob

EV -16.2%

Polymarket

Analysis

The New Orleans Pelicans travel to face the Utah Jazz in a matchup where the simulation favours the visiting side. New Orleans projects to outscore Utah by roughly five points, with the pace likely to stay brisk enough that the combined total clears the line slightly more often than not. The game hinges on perimeter shooting: if Utah's shooters find their range early, they can stay close despite the projection, but New Orleans has the cleaner path to victory. AccuScore's record on games shaped like this one—away teams with a modest lean—stands at six wins in eight similar matchups across different opponents. Utah would need to limit New Orleans's efficiency from outside and control the tempo to pull off the upset.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadNO -2.5
380.5-37
NO Cover
49.4%
no odds at this line
UT Cover
50.6%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 264
220272.25324.5
Over Cover
50.1%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
48.5%
no odds at this line
Push 1.4% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

UT NO
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookUTEVNOEV
Kalshi ↗-175-17.0%+140+19.6%
Polymarket ↗-164-16.2%+143+20.5%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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NBA

New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Fri, Oct 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes New Orleans Pelicans 58% to beat Utah Jazz (42%).

Projection updated Oct 22, 6:21 AM ET

Who will win New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz?

AccuScore's simulation makes New Orleans Pelicans the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Utah Jazz beat New Orleans Pelicans?

AccuScore's simulation gives Utah Jazz a 42% chance of beating New Orleans Pelicans, against 58% for New Orleans Pelicans. Utah Jazz are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Every New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz meeting →New Orleans Pelicans predictions & record →Utah Jazz predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How New Orleans Pelicans and Utah Jazz come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

New Orleans PelicansL
  • Oct 21vs Indiana PacersL 120–123

New Orleans Pelicans have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).

Utah JazzL
  • Oct 21at Memphis GrizzliesL 103–123

Utah Jazz have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 56 times since 2010: New Orleans Pelicans 25, Utah Jazz 31. The last meeting, on Apr 7, 2026, finished Utah Jazz 137, New Orleans Pelicans 156.

  • Apr 7, 2026UT 137 – 156 NO
  • Feb 28, 2026NO 115 – 105 UT
  • Feb 26, 2026NO 129 – 118 UT
  • Mar 2, 2025NO 128 – 121 UT
  • Jan 20, 2025UT 119 – 123 NO
Every New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz meeting →

Betting trends

New Orleans Pelicans are 285-196 as favourite and 248-516 as underdog, and 236-418 on the road (36% of 654 games, 2010–2026).

Utah Jazz are 419-188 as favourite and 195-466 as underdog, and 385-279 at home (58% of 664 games, 2010–2026).

RecordNOUT
As favourite285-196419-188
As underdog248-516195-466
At home329-327385-279
On the road236-418260-409

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the point spread. How the NBA odds have moved →