EPL • Sat, Nov 21, 12:30
Manchester City hosts Fulham in a fixture where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Fulham's defensive task is severe—the away side is projected for just 0.4 goals. For Fulham to change the narrative, they would need to compress City's space tightly and convert rare attacking opportunities into goals.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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EPL
AccuScore's simulation makes Manchester City 88% to win, Fulham 2%, with a 10% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Manchester City the more likely winner at 88%, with a 10% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Manchester City a 88% chance of beating Fulham, with 2% for Fulham and 10% for a draw. Manchester City are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Fulham and Manchester City come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Fulham have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-W-W-L-D, most recent first).
Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 (L-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 12 times since 2018: Fulham 0, Manchester City 12. The last meeting, on Feb 11, 2026, finished Fulham 0, Manchester City 3.