La Liga • Sat, Nov 21, 13:00
Deportivo La Coruna travels to face Deportivo Alavés in a fixture where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with Alavés' attack expected to be the difference—the most likely outcome is a 1–0 home victory. For La Coruna to escape with a result, their defense would need to neutralize Alavés' threat sufficiently to keep the combined output below what the projection suggests.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Deportivo Alavés 61% to win, Dep. A Coruna 16%, with a 24% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Deportivo Alavés the more likely winner at 61%, with a 24% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Deportivo Alavés a 61% chance of beating Dep. A Coruna, with 16% for Dep. A Coruna and 24% for a draw. Deportivo Alavés are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Dep. A Coruna and Deportivo Alavés come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Dep. A Coruna have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (W-L-D-L-D, most recent first).
Deportivo Alavés have won 0 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-D-L-L-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2017: Dep. A Coruna 1, Deportivo Alavés 1. The last meeting, on Feb 17, 2018, finished Dep. A Coruna 0, Deportivo Alavés 1.