Bundesliga • Sat, Nov 21, 14:30
This is a coin-flip between Freiburg and Elversberg, with the simulation leaning marginally toward the visitors. AccuScore's model projects a 1.4–1.4 stalemate, and the most likely outcome is a 1–1 draw at 12% of simulations. For Elversberg to pull off the upset at home, it will need to convert chances at a rate the projections do not favor.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Bundesliga
AccuScore's simulation makes Elversberg 37% to win, Freiburg 36%, with a 27% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Elversberg the more likely winner at 37%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Elversberg a 37% chance of beating Freiburg, with 36% for Freiburg and 27% for a draw. Elversberg are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Freiburg and Elversberg come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Freiburg have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-L-L-W-D, most recent first).
Elversberg have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-L-W-L-D, most recent first).