Anaheim Ducks
4-5
Philadelphia Flyers
3-6
Win Probability
The Anaheim Ducks travel to face the Philadelphia Flyers in a matchup where the simulation favors the visitors. Leo Carlsson projects to a 58% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, while his counterpart Trevor Zegras sits at just 32%. The game turns on whether Anaheim can convert those scoring chances into goals—the model expects a tight contest by volume. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way, backing the away side with a clear lean, stands at 59% across 1072 graded contests. Philadelphia would need to replicate what happened in five of eight similar recent matchups to pull off the upset.
| Book | PHI | EV | ANA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -131 | -17.2% | -103 | +11.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -119 | -15.8% | +103 | +13.7% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks 63% to beat Philadelphia Flyers (37%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Anaheim Ducks the more likely winner at 63%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Philadelphia Flyers a 37% chance of beating Anaheim Ducks, against 63% for Anaheim Ducks. Philadelphia Flyers are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Anaheim Ducks and Philadelphia Flyers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Anaheim Ducks have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Philadelphia Flyers have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Anaheim Ducks 10, Philadelphia Flyers 13. The last meeting, on Mar 18, 2026, finished Philadelphia Flyers 3, Anaheim Ducks 2.
Anaheim Ducks are 244-168 as favourite and 270-436 as underdog, and 233-332 on the road (41% of 565 games, 2011–2026).
Philadelphia Flyers are 237-181 as favourite and 275-419 as underdog, and 289-278 at home (51% of 567 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | ANA | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 244-168 | 237-181 |
| As underdog | 270-436 | 275-419 |
| At home | 288-284 | 289-278 |
| On the road | 233-332 | 231-332 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →