NHL
San Jose Sharks
5-4
Boston Bruins
7-2
Win Probability
Boston Bruins host San Jose Sharks in a matchup where the simulation favors the home side clearly. David Pastrnak projects as the likeliest scorer, with a 66% chance of exceeding 0.5 points, while Macklin Celebrini carries a 63% probability—tight at the top, but the Bruins' depth follows: Charlie McAvoy has a 47% chance to register a point, against Tyler Toffoli at 37%. Boston's goaltending and San Jose's ability to generate sustained offense in hostile conditions will decide this one. On similar game shapes across eight prior contests, the favored side won five times, though the historical record on this exact probability band sits just below break-even, offering little comfort to either side's backers.
| Book | BOS | EV | SAN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -191 | -1.0% | +146 | -6.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -164 | +1.8% | +137 | -7.7% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins 64% to beat San Jose Sharks (36%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Boston Bruins the more likely winner at 64%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Boston Bruins a 64% chance of beating San Jose Sharks, against 36% for San Jose Sharks. Boston Bruins are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How San Jose Sharks and Boston Bruins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
San Jose Sharks have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).
Boston Bruins have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 24 times since 2011: San Jose Sharks 8, Boston Bruins 16. The last meeting, on Oct 13, 2026, finished Boston Bruins 6, San Jose Sharks 3.
San Jose Sharks are 276-225 as favourite and 227-399 as underdog, and 236-337 on the road (41% of 573 games, 2011–2026).
Boston Bruins are 524-329 as favourite and 143-168 as underdog, and 356-235 at home (60% of 591 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | SAN | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 276-225 | 524-329 |
| As underdog | 227-399 | 143-168 |
| At home | 274-297 | 356-235 |
| On the road | 236-337 | 317-276 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →