Nashville Predators
3-2
Pittsburgh Penguins
3-6
Win Probability
This is a coin-flip between the Nashville Predators and Pittsburgh Penguins, with the simulation barely favouring Nashville as the visitor. Steven Stamkos projects a 39% chance of exceeding one point, while Erik Karlsson sits at 23% — the gap in their high-end production shapes the forecast. The game turns on scoring volume: the model expects a tight, low-event affair at just over six combined goals, and only sees a 46% probability the total clears the market line. AccuScore's historical record on away-side leans of this precise strength stands at 49% across 2687 comparable games. Pittsburgh would need Malkin or Crosby to break through at their projected rates—each carrying just a 19% and 15% chance of a multi-point night respectively—to flip the outcome.
| Book | PIT | EV | NSH | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -143 | -8.9% | +109 | +3.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -140 | -8.5% | +116 | +5.7% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville Predators 52% to beat Pittsburgh Penguins (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Nashville Predators the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Pittsburgh Penguins a 48% chance of beating Nashville Predators, against 52% for Nashville Predators. Pittsburgh Penguins are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Nashville Predators and Pittsburgh Penguins come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Nashville Predators have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
Pittsburgh Penguins have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 29 times since 2012: Nashville Predators 9, Pittsburgh Penguins 20. The last meeting, on Nov 16, 2025, finished Nashville Predators 0, Pittsburgh Penguins 4.
Nashville Predators are 370-259 as favourite and 221-291 as underdog, and 270-312 on the road (46% of 582 games, 2011–2026).
Pittsburgh Penguins are 460-308 as favourite and 163-217 as underdog, and 363-226 at home (62% of 589 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | NSH | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 370-259 | 460-308 |
| As underdog | 221-291 | 163-217 |
| At home | 338-248 | 363-226 |
| On the road | 270-312 | 278-311 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →