Vegas Golden Knights
8-3
Columbus Blue Jackets
3-5
Win Probability
The Vegas Golden Knights travel to Columbus to face the Columbus Blue Jackets in a matchup where the simulation favours Vegas clearly. Jack Eichel projects to exceed 0.5 points in two of every three simulations, while Zach Werenski reaches that mark in barely half of them—a gap that reflects Vegas's offensive advantage. The game hinges on whether Columbus can keep pace; the model projects a relatively low combined score, suggesting goaltending and structure will matter more than volume. AccuScore's system has won 59% of similar away-side calls across over 1000 graded contests. For Columbus to pull the upset, its complementary scorers would need to emerge: Adam Fantilli sits at just 32% to record a point, and a deeper offensive contribution would be required to overcome Vegas's depth.
| Book | CLS | EV | VGK | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +105 | -13.1% | -143 | +4.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +111 | -12.0% | -128 | +7.0% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights 64% to beat Columbus Blue Jackets (36%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Vegas Golden Knights the more likely winner at 64%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Columbus Blue Jackets a 36% chance of beating Vegas Golden Knights, against 64% for Vegas Golden Knights. Columbus Blue Jackets are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Vegas Golden Knights and Columbus Blue Jackets come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Vegas Golden Knights have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Columbus Blue Jackets have won 1 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 16 times since 2018: Vegas Golden Knights 9, Columbus Blue Jackets 7. The last meeting, on Jan 8, 2026, finished Columbus Blue Jackets 3, Vegas Golden Knights 5.
Vegas Golden Knights are 371-225 as favourite and 107-119 as underdog, and 220-195 on the road (53% of 415 games, 2017–2026).
Columbus Blue Jackets are 210-137 as favourite and 290-463 as underdog, and 283-273 at home (51% of 556 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | VGK | CLS |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 371-225 | 210-137 |
| As underdog | 107-119 | 290-463 |
| At home | 266-158 | 283-273 |
| On the road | 220-195 | 222-332 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →