Carolina Hurricanes
8-2
St. Louis Blues
4-4
Win Probability
The Carolina Hurricanes travel to St. Louis as clear favourites, and the simulation leans decidedly their way. Sebastian Aho projects as the most likely point producer on either side at 59%, while Dylan Holloway represents the hosts' best scoring chance at 51%. The game hinges on Carolina's ability to convert scoring chances; at a projected 3.3 goals, the Hurricanes need to sustain their offensive pressure through sixty minutes. AccuScore's model has returned 59% on similar away-side leans across 1,072 past games—a marginal edge that underscores how close execution matters. St. Louis would need to steal one through goaltending or capitalise on rare chances to pull off the upset.
| Book | STL | EV | CAR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +129 | -8.7% | -167 | +1.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +137 | -7.2% | -158 | +2.2% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes 64% to beat St. Louis Blues (36%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes the more likely winner at 64%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives St. Louis Blues a 36% chance of beating Carolina Hurricanes, against 64% for Carolina Hurricanes. St. Louis Blues are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Carolina Hurricanes and St. Louis Blues come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Carolina Hurricanes have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
St. Louis Blues have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Carolina Hurricanes 10, St. Louis Blues 13. The last meeting, on Mar 12, 2026, finished St. Louis Blues 3, Carolina Hurricanes 1.
Carolina Hurricanes are 437-274 as favourite and 184-266 as underdog, and 280-314 on the road (47% of 594 games, 2011–2026).
St. Louis Blues are 383-272 as favourite and 248-260 as underdog, and 336-253 at home (57% of 589 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | CAR | STL |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 437-274 | 383-272 |
| As underdog | 184-266 | 248-260 |
| At home | 354-239 | 336-253 |
| On the road | 280-314 | 304-291 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →