NHL • Sat, Oct 24, 23:00
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers 74% to beat Toronto Maple Leafs (26%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Edmonton Oilers the more likely winner at 74%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Edmonton Oilers a 74% chance of beating Toronto Maple Leafs, against 26% for Toronto Maple Leafs. Edmonton Oilers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Toronto Maple Leafs and Edmonton Oilers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Toronto Maple Leafs have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
Edmonton Oilers have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 33 times since 2012: Toronto Maple Leafs 24, Edmonton Oilers 9. The last meeting, on Feb 3, 2026, finished Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Edmonton Oilers 2.
Toronto Maple Leafs are 387-278 as favourite and 195-266 as underdog, and 275-298 on the road (48% of 573 games, 2011–2026).
Edmonton Oilers are 352-255 as favourite and 229-323 as underdog, and 310-275 at home (53% of 585 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | TOR | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 387-278 | 352-255 |
| As underdog | 195-266 | 229-323 |
| At home | 319-260 | 310-275 |
| On the road | 275-298 | 280-316 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →