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← Today's Edges
NHL•Sun, Oct 25 • 2:00 AMSilver Edge
DET

Detroit Red Wings

3-3

VS
CAL

Calgary Flames

2-6

Win Probability

Moneyline

DET

-136

52.4% win prob

EV -4.5%

Kalshi

Moneyline

CAL

+121

47.6% win prob

EV +2.6%

Polymarket

Analysis

Detroit Red Wings visit Calgary Flames in a coin-flip matchup where the simulation leans fractionally toward the visitors. Alex DeBrincat projects at 54% to record more than 0.5 points, while Joel Farabee sits at 44%—a gap that reflects where this game turns on depth of offensive threat. The model's lean toward Detroit is modest; on similar away-side calls across 2,687 graded games, it has won only 49% of the time. For Calgary to pull the upset, it would need stronger contributions from its secondary scoring than the simulation expects, particularly from players like Matt Coronato (39%) who remain secondary options in this projection.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Puck Line (-1.5/+1.5)DET -1.5
71-5
DET Cover
46.4%
no odds at this line
CAL Cover
53.6%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 5.5
0.56.2512
Over Cover
45.2%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
54.8%
no odds at this line

Player Props

CAL DET
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookCALEVDETEV
Kalshi ↗+105-1.2%-136-4.5%
Polymarket ↗+121+2.6%-140-5.1%

Where to Bet

silver
CAL ML+2.6% EV

Win probability: 47.6%

Polymarket
+121Bet →
Kalshi
+105Bet →

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NHL

Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 PM ET

AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings 52% to beat Calgary Flames (48%).

Projection updated Oct 22, 12:25 PM ET

Who will win Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames?

AccuScore's simulation makes Detroit Red Wings the more likely winner at 52%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Calgary Flames beat Detroit Red Wings?

AccuScore's simulation gives Calgary Flames a 48% chance of beating Detroit Red Wings, against 52% for Detroit Red Wings. Calgary Flames are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Every Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames meeting →Detroit Red Wings predictions & record →Calgary Flames predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Detroit Red Wings and Calgary Flames come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Detroit Red WingsLWWLL
  • Oct 20at Seattle KrakenL 3–4
  • Oct 17vs San Jose SharksW 4–3
  • Oct 15vs Philadelphia FlyersW 2–1
  • Oct 13vs New Jersey DevilsL 4–5
  • Oct 10at Montreal CanadiensL 0–1

Detroit Red Wings have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).

Calgary FlamesWLWLL
  • Oct 18vs Carolina HurricanesW 3–2
  • Oct 15at Vegas Golden KnightsL 2–6
  • Oct 13at Anaheim DucksW 4–2
  • Oct 10vs Anaheim DucksL 2–4
  • Oct 8vs Colorado AvalancheL 3–7

Calgary Flames have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-W-L-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 29 times since 2011: Detroit Red Wings 13, Calgary Flames 16. The last meeting, on Mar 16, 2026, finished Calgary Flames 2, Detroit Red Wings 5.

  • Mar 16, 2026CAL 2 – 5 DET
  • Dec 10, 2025DET 4 – 3 CAL
  • Feb 1, 2025DET 3 – 1 CAL
  • Nov 27, 2024CAL 1 – 2 DET
  • Feb 17, 2024DET 5 – 0 CAL
Every Detroit Red Wings vs Calgary Flames meeting →

Betting trends

Detroit Red Wings are 205-171 as favourite and 263-439 as underdog, and 212-335 on the road (39% of 547 games, 2011–2026).

Calgary Flames are 303-229 as favourite and 230-336 as underdog, and 300-261 at home (53% of 561 games, 2011–2026).

RecordDETCAL
As favourite205-171303-229
As underdog263-439230-336
At home268-283300-261
On the road212-335243-315

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →