Minnesota Wild
6-2
Seattle Kraken
6-3
Win Probability
Minnesota Wild travel to Seattle Kraken as the favored side in this matchup. The simulation leans toward the visitors, with Kirill Kaprizov projected at 62% to register more than 0.5 points and Quinn Hughes at 66% to do the same—a split that hints at Minnesota's depth advantage despite Seattle's star potential. The game turns on whether the Wild can sustain offensive pressure; historically, AccuScore's model has graded at 59% accuracy over 1,072 games of similar shape and probability. For Seattle to pull the upset, the Kraken would need their secondary contributors like Jordan Eberle and Brandon Montour to break through at rates better than their projected 39% chances.
| Book | SEA | EV | MIN | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +124 | -5.5% | -167 | -1.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +131 | -4.1% | -151 | +0.1% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Wild 60% to beat Seattle Kraken (40%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Minnesota Wild the more likely winner at 60%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seattle Kraken a 40% chance of beating Minnesota Wild, against 60% for Minnesota Wild. Seattle Kraken are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Minnesota Wild and Seattle Kraken come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Minnesota Wild have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
Seattle Kraken have won 3 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 15 times since 2021: Minnesota Wild 11, Seattle Kraken 4. The last meeting, on Apr 7, 2026, finished Seattle Kraken 2, Minnesota Wild 5.
Minnesota Wild are 383-246 as favourite and 208-284 as underdog, and 280-296 on the road (49% of 576 games, 2011–2026).
Seattle Kraken are 71-55 as favourite and 114-186 as underdog, and 96-118 at home (45% of 214 games, 2021–2026).
| Record | MIN | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 383-246 | 71-55 |
| As underdog | 208-284 | 114-186 |
| At home | 324-247 | 96-118 |
| On the road | 280-296 | 94-126 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →