Florida Panthers
5-3
Chicago Blackhawks
3-6
Win Probability
The Florida Panthers travel to Chicago to face the Blackhawks in a matchup where AccuScore's simulation clearly favors the visitors. Matthew Tkachuk carries a 71% chance of posting more than half a point, while Seth Jones projects at 64%—both well above the Blackhawks' leading options, where Anton Frondell reaches just 51%. Chicago's offensive output will determine whether this stays competitive; the model projects a relatively tight scoreline, and the Blackhawks would need to generate scoring chances at an unusually high rate to overtake a Panthers team that has shown more consistent punch across its lineup. AccuScore's record on away-side calls shaped like this one stands at 59% over more than a thousand graded games.
| Book | CHI | EV | FLA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +146 | -2.5% | -191 | -3.2% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +155 | -0.8% | -179 | -2.1% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers 61% to beat Chicago Blackhawks (39%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Florida Panthers the more likely winner at 61%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Chicago Blackhawks a 39% chance of beating Florida Panthers, against 61% for Florida Panthers. Chicago Blackhawks are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Florida Panthers and Chicago Blackhawks come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Florida Panthers have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-L, most recent first).
Chicago Blackhawks have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 32 times since 2011: Florida Panthers 18, Chicago Blackhawks 14. The last meeting, on Jan 25, 2026, finished Florida Panthers 5, Chicago Blackhawks 1.
Florida Panthers are 390-259 as favourite and 218-278 as underdog, and 286-306 on the road (48% of 592 games, 2011–2026).
Chicago Blackhawks are 253-191 as favourite and 242-427 as underdog, and 271-291 at home (48% of 562 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | FLA | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 390-259 | 253-191 |
| As underdog | 218-278 | 242-427 |
| At home | 339-249 | 271-291 |
| On the road | 286-306 | 233-333 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →