NHL
Colorado Avalanche
5-4
Nashville Predators
3-2
Win Probability
The Colorado Avalanche travel to Nashville to face the Predators in a matchup where the simulation favours Colorado slightly. Nathan MacKinnon leads the visitors with a 70% chance of posting more than 0.5 points, while Roman Josi carries Nashville's offensive burden at 58%. The game hinges on whether Colorado's depth can sustain pressure; Martin Necas sits at 54% to contribute offensively, a crucial marker for the Avalanche's ability to build a lead. AccuScore has graded 2,687 similar matchups—those where the away side carried a slight win probability—and returned 49% winners at -1.6%. Nashville would need to exploit gaps in Colorado's secondary scoring, where both Brock Nelson and Nazem Kadri project below 40% to reach the scoreboard.
| Book | NSH | EV | COL | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | +174 | +8.4% | -229 | -8.8% |
| Polymarket ↗ | +193 | +12.4% | -224 | -8.5% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche 57% to beat Nashville Predators (43%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado Avalanche the more likely winner at 57%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Nashville Predators a 43% chance of beating Colorado Avalanche, against 57% for Colorado Avalanche. Nashville Predators are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Colorado Avalanche and Nashville Predators come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Colorado Avalanche have won 2 of their last 5 (L-L-W-L-W, most recent first).
Nashville Predators have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 60 times since 2012: Colorado Avalanche 26, Nashville Predators 34. The last meeting, on Jan 16, 2026, finished Nashville Predators 7, Colorado Avalanche 3.
Colorado Avalanche are 440-252 as favourite and 190-274 as underdog, and 294-295 on the road (50% of 589 games, 2011–2026).
Nashville Predators are 370-259 as favourite and 221-291 as underdog, and 338-248 at home (58% of 586 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | COL | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 440-252 | 370-259 |
| As underdog | 190-274 | 221-291 |
| At home | 345-243 | 338-248 |
| On the road | 294-295 | 270-312 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →