Nottingham Forest
AFC Bournemouth
Win Probability
Moneyline
NFO
+275
30.2% win prob
EV +6.6%
Betano
Draw
Draw
32% prob
Moneyline
BOU
+100
38.0% win prob
EV -12.0%
Betano
Nottingham Forest travels to face AFC Bournemouth in a match the simulation leans slightly toward the hosts. The projected score sits just 0.2 goals apart, hinging on whether either side can impose enough control in midfield to create clear chances; in similar matchups across the model's history, AccuScore has graded 46% as winners over 1,286 games. Both attacks will need precision—Forest's efficiency and Bournemouth's clinical finishing will likely decide margins measured in single goals. For the visitors to overcome the home lean, they would need to convert at least one of the half-chances the simulation expects to fall their way.
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EPL
AccuScore's simulation makes AFC Bournemouth 38% to win, Nottingham Forest 30%, with a 32% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes AFC Bournemouth the more likely winner at 38%, with a 32% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives AFC Bournemouth a 38% chance of beating Nottingham Forest, with 30% for Nottingham Forest and 32% for a draw. AFC Bournemouth are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Nottingham Forest and AFC Bournemouth come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Nottingham Forest have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-D-L-L-W, most recent first).
AFC Bournemouth have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 12 times since 2020: Nottingham Forest 0, AFC Bournemouth 7, 5 drawn. The last meeting, on May 24, 2026, finished AFC Bournemouth 1, Nottingham Forest 1.