Crystal Palace
Coventry City
Win Probability
Moneyline
CRY
+200
24.7% win prob
EV -13.0%
bet365
Draw
Draw
+260
30% prob
EV +3.1%
William Hill
Moneyline
COV
+142
45.8% win prob
EV +5.4%
Pinnacle
Crystal Palace travel to Coventry City in a fixture where the simulation clearly favours the hosts. Over 50,000 simulations, Coventry City emerged ahead in nearly half of them, with the most likely outcome a 1–0 home win. The game hinges on whether Crystal Palace can generate enough attacking threat to lift the combined output; the model assigns only 39% probability to the total going over market expectations. AccuScore's record on games shaped this way—where the away side sits around 25% to win—stands at 46% over 1,286 graded matches. For Crystal Palace to prevail, they would need to buck that historical lean and break down a Coventry City side the model expects to control proceedings.
| Book | CRY | EV | Draw | EV | COV | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +186 | -14.7% | +253 | +2.1% | +142 | +5.4% |
| Betano ↗ | +192 | -13.9% | +255 | +2.4% | +135 | +3.8% |
| bet365 ↗ | +200 | -13.0% | +250 | +1.6% | +125 | +1.5% |
| William Hill ↗ | +188 | -14.4% | +260 | +3.1% | +125 | +1.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | +120 | -19.0% | -147 | +11.2% |
| Betano ↗ | 3 | +125 | -18.6% | -149 | +10.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -137 | -16.2% | +110 | +14.0% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 45.8%
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EPL
AccuScore's simulation makes Coventry City 46% to win, Crystal Palace 25%, with a 30% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Coventry City the more likely winner at 46%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Coventry City a 46% chance of beating Crystal Palace, with 25% for Crystal Palace and 30% for a draw. Coventry City are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Crystal Palace and Coventry City come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Crystal Palace have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-L-L-W-D, most recent first).
Coventry City have won 2 of their last 5 (W-L-L-W-L, most recent first).