Ipswich
Tottenham
Win Probability
Moneyline
IPS
+525
14.3% win prob
EV -5.3%
bet365
Draw
Draw
+365
23% prob
EV +3.0%
Pinnacle
Moneyline
TOT
-189
62.9% win prob
EV -1.9%
Betano
Tottenham Hotspur hosts Ipswich Town in an encounter where the simulation decisively favours the home side. The model projects a low-scoring affair centered on Spurs' attacking threat outweighing Ipswich's visiting defence. Over similar matchups in the historical record, AccuScore's lean toward the home side has converted 54% of the time across 3,163 games. For Ipswich to escape north London with a result, they would need to suffocate Tottenham's chances and capitalize on rare offensive opportunities; the simulation gives them a combined 37% probability of drawing or winning outright.
| Book | IPS | EV | Draw | EV | TOT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | +516 | -6.0% | +365 | +3.0% | -208 | -3.4% |
| Betano ↗ | +480 | -8.5% | +350 | +1.3% | -189 | -1.9% |
| bet365 ↗ | +525 | -5.3% | +320 | -2.1% | -208 | -3.4% |
| William Hill ↗ | +480 | -8.5% | +340 | +0.2% | -200 | -2.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3 | -112 | -11.3% | -106 | +8.3% |
| Betano ↗ | 3 | +102 | -9.4% | -120 | +5.6% |
| bet365 ↗ | 2.5 | -161 | -8.4% | +130 | +5.9% |
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EPL
AccuScore's simulation makes Tottenham 63% to win, Ipswich 14%, with a 23% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Tottenham the more likely winner at 63%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Tottenham a 63% chance of beating Ipswich, with 14% for Ipswich and 23% for a draw. Tottenham are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Ipswich and Tottenham come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Ipswich have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 2 (D-D-L-W-W, most recent first).
Tottenham have won 4 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-W-W-D-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2024: Ipswich 1, Tottenham 1. The last meeting, on Feb 22, 2025, finished Tottenham 4, Ipswich 1.