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MLB

Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Oct 24, 2026, 8:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
MLB•Sun, Oct 25 • 12:00 AM
TB

Tampa Bay Rays

98-64

VS
MIL

Milwaukee Brewers

103-59

Win Probability

Moneyline

TB

+134

41.2% win prob

EV -1.8%

Kalshi

Moneyline

MIL

-161

58.8% win prob

EV -2.3%

Kalshi

Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Tampa Bay Rays in a matchup between the league's second-best record and a 98-win visitor. The simulation leans clearly toward Milwaukee. This game turns on run prevention: the Brewers' pitching will need to keep the Rays off the board, while Tampa Bay's offense faces a test it has not consistently passed all season. Over similar games shaped this way, AccuScore's model won 3 of 8. For the Rays to pull the upset, they would need to score in bunches against Milwaukee's arms and protect a lead late.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Run Line (-1.5/+1.5)TB -1.5
11.50.25-11
TB Cover
35.1%
no odds at this line
MIL Cover
64.9%
no odds at this line

Odds Comparison

Moneyline

BookMILEVTBEV
Kalshi ↗-161-2.3%+134-1.8%

Where to Bet

DraftKingsBet →FanDuelBet →BetMGMBet →KalshiBet →PolymarketBet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes Milwaukee Brewers 59% to beat Tampa Bay Rays (41%).

Projection updated Oct 22, 12:25 PM ET

Who will win Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers?

AccuScore's simulation makes Milwaukee Brewers the more likely winner at 59%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Milwaukee Brewers beat Tampa Bay Rays?

AccuScore's simulation gives Milwaukee Brewers a 59% chance of beating Tampa Bay Rays, against 41% for Tampa Bay Rays. Milwaukee Brewers are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers meeting →Tampa Bay Rays predictions & record →Milwaukee Brewers predictions & record →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Tampa Bay Rays and Milwaukee Brewers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Tampa Bay RaysWWLWL
  • Oct 19vs Cleveland GuardiansW 7–3
  • Oct 17at Cleveland GuardiansW 7–3
  • Oct 15at Cleveland GuardiansL 2–3
  • Oct 13vs Cleveland GuardiansW 3–1
  • Oct 12vs Cleveland GuardiansL 3–7

Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).

Milwaukee BrewersWWWWW
  • Oct 15at Los Angeles DodgersW 6–4
  • Oct 14at Los Angeles DodgersW 6–2
  • Oct 12vs Los Angeles DodgersW 7–4
  • Oct 11vs Los Angeles DodgersW 2–1
  • Oct 7at San Diego PadresW 3–1

Milwaukee Brewers have won 5 of their last 5 (W-W-W-W-W, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 22 times since 2011: Tampa Bay Rays 10, Milwaukee Brewers 12. The last meeting, on Apr 1, 2026, finished Tampa Bay Rays 8, Milwaukee Brewers 2.

  • Apr 1, 2026TB 8 – 2 MIL
  • Mar 31, 2026TB 6 – 2 MIL
  • Mar 30, 2026TB 2 – 3 MIL
  • May 11, 2025MIL 4 – 2 TB
  • May 10, 2025MIL 2 – 3 TB
Every Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers meeting →

Betting trends

Tampa Bay Rays are 819-639 as favourite and 470-502 as underdog, and 624-602 on the road (51% of 1226 games, 2010–2026).

Milwaukee Brewers are 762-555 as favourite and 502-594 as underdog, and 690-547 at home (56% of 1237 games, 2010–2026).

RecordTBMIL
As favourite819-639762-555
As underdog470-502502-594
At home679-555690-547
On the road624-602594-625

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the MLB odds have moved →