Los Angeles Kings
2-4
New York Rangers
7-4
Win Probability
The New York Rangers host the Los Angeles Kings in a matchup where the simulation leans toward the home side. Alexis Lafreniere projects at 57% to record more than 0.5 points, while Mika Zibanejad sits at 56%—both comfortably ahead of Los Angeles Kings' leading scorer Artemi Panarin at 51%. The game hinges on whether Los Angeles can generate secondary scoring; Adrian Kempe carries only a 44% chance to reach the point total. AccuScore's model has won 49% of similar games over 2,448 attempts, a cautionary note for backing the home lean. For Los Angeles to steal this one on the road, role players beyond Panarin would need to break through.
| Book | NYR | EV | LOS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -148 | -1.5% | +118 | -4.1% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -145 | -1.1% | +127 | -2.2% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers 58% to beat Los Angeles Kings (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes New York Rangers the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives New York Rangers a 58% chance of beating Los Angeles Kings, against 42% for Los Angeles Kings. New York Rangers are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Los Angeles Kings and New York Rangers come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Los Angeles Kings have won 2 of their last 5 (W-W-L-L-L, most recent first).
New York Rangers have won 2 of their last 5 (L-W-L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 23 times since 2011: Los Angeles Kings 14, New York Rangers 9. The last meeting, on Mar 16, 2026, finished Los Angeles Kings 4, New York Rangers 1.
Los Angeles Kings are 342-267 as favourite and 209-290 as underdog, and 257-313 on the road (45% of 570 games, 2011–2026).
New York Rangers are 407-258 as favourite and 213-275 as underdog, and 333-261 at home (56% of 594 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | LOS | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 342-267 | 407-258 |
| As underdog | 209-290 | 213-275 |
| At home | 305-259 | 333-261 |
| On the road | 257-313 | 301-289 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →