Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames Prediction (Oct 26): Toronto Maple Leafs 54%

NHL • Tue, Oct 27, 00:30

TOR

Toronto Maple Leafs6-4

CAL

Calgary Flames3-6

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AccuScore's simulation makes Toronto Maple Leafs 54% to beat Calgary Flames (46%).

Projection updated Oct 23, 12:21 PM ET

Who will win Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames?

AccuScore's simulation makes Toronto Maple Leafs the more likely winner at 54%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Calgary Flames beat Toronto Maple Leafs?

AccuScore's simulation gives Calgary Flames a 46% chance of beating Toronto Maple Leafs, against 54% for Toronto Maple Leafs. Calgary Flames are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Toronto Maple Leafs and Calgary Flames come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

Toronto Maple LeafsWWWLL

Oct 22vs New York RangersW 5–4
Oct 20at Columbus Blue JacketsW 6–2
Oct 19vs San Jose SharksW 3–1
Oct 17vs New York IslandersL 1–4
Oct 15vs Buffalo SabresL 4–5

Toronto Maple Leafs have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-L, most recent first).

Calgary FlamesWWLWL

Oct 22vs Minnesota WildW 2–1
Oct 18vs Carolina HurricanesW 3–2
Oct 15at Vegas Golden KnightsL 2–6
Oct 13at Anaheim DucksW 4–2
Oct 10vs Anaheim DucksL 2–4

Calgary Flames have won 3 of their last 5 (W-W-L-W-L, most recent first).

Head-to-head

The teams have met 33 times since 2011: Toronto Maple Leafs 22, Calgary Flames 11. The last meeting, on Feb 2, 2026, finished Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Calgary Flames 2.

Feb 2, 2026TOR 4 – 2 CAL
Oct 28, 2025CAL 3 – 4 TOR
Mar 17, 2025CAL 2 – 6 TOR
Feb 4, 2025TOR 6 – 3 CAL
Jan 18, 2024TOR 4 – 3 CAL

Every Toronto Maple Leafs vs Calgary Flames meeting →

Betting trends

Toronto Maple Leafs are 387-278 as favourite and 195-266 as underdog, and 275-298 on the road (48% of 573 games, 2011–2026).

Calgary Flames are 303-229 as favourite and 231-336 as underdog, and 301-261 at home (54% of 562 games, 2011–2026).

Record	TOR	CAL
As favourite	387-278	303-229
As underdog	195-266	231-336
At home	320-260	301-261
On the road	275-298	243-315

Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →