Udinese
Bologna
Win Probability
Moneyline
UDI
21.2% win prob
Draw
Draw
30% prob
Moneyline
BOL
48.7% win prob
Udinese travels to Bologna in a fixture where the simulation clearly favors the home side. Over 50,000 simulations, Bologna emerges as the stronger proposition, though Udinese's visiting status keeps the result genuinely uncertain. The game turns on whether Udinese can create enough in attack to trouble Bologna's setup; across eight comparable matchups in AccuScore's record, the favored home side won five times. For Udinese to overcome that lean, they would need to generate chances at a rate well above their projected output and convert them efficiently.
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano ↗ | 2 | -222 | -14.2% | +187 | +24.1% |
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes Bologna 49% to win, Udinese 21%, with a 30% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Bologna the more likely winner at 49%, with a 30% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Bologna a 49% chance of beating Udinese, with 21% for Udinese and 30% for a draw. Bologna are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Udinese and Bologna come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Udinese have won 0 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-D-L-L-L, most recent first).
Bologna have won 4 of their last 5 (W-W-W-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 18 times since 2017: Udinese 5, Bologna 5, 8 drawn. The last meeting, on Feb 23, 2026, finished Udinese 0, Bologna 1.