La Liga • Sun, Nov 22, 15:15
Real Sociedad travels to Racing Santander in a fixture where the simulation clearly favours the visitors. The model projects a narrow gap in expected goals, with both sides capable of reaching the mid-to-high 1s, and the most likely outcome is a draw at 1–1. For Racing Santander to overturn the projection, they would need to suppress Real Sociedad's attack below its modelled output while converting chances at a rate the simulation does not expect.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Sociedad 47% to win, Racing Santander 29%, with a 24% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Real Sociedad the more likely winner at 47%, with a 24% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Racing Santander a 29% chance of beating Real Sociedad, with 47% for Real Sociedad and 24% for a draw. Racing Santander are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Real Sociedad and Racing Santander come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Real Sociedad have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Racing Santander have won 2 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-W-L-D-W, most recent first).