Serie A • Sun, Nov 22, 17:00
Frosinone travels to the San Siro to face Milan in a fixture where the simulation strongly favours the hosts. In 1,966 games where AccuScore leaned this decisively to one side, that side won 75% of the time. The projection hinges on Milan's offensive output: the model expects the home side to exceed three goals in roughly 51% of simulations, while Frosinone's defence is projected to concede at that rate.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes AC Milan 84% to win, Frosinone 5%, with a 12% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes AC Milan the more likely winner at 84%, with a 12% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives AC Milan a 84% chance of beating Frosinone, with 5% for Frosinone and 12% for a draw. AC Milan are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Frosinone and AC Milan come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Frosinone have won 3 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-W-W-D-W, most recent first).
AC Milan have won 3 of their last 5, drawing 1 (W-L-W-W-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 4 times since 2018: Frosinone 0, AC Milan 3, 1 drawn. The last meeting, on Feb 3, 2024, finished AC Milan 3, Frosinone 2.