La Liga • Sun, Nov 22, 17:30
Osasuna hosts Malaga in La Liga with the simulation favoring the home side decisively. The model projects a low-scoring affair, with Osasuna expected to control the contest and Malaga struggling to generate chances on the road. For Malaga to upset, it would need to sharpen its finishing and disrupt Osasuna's rhythm early, but the simulation sees little path to that outcome.
See the model's win probabilities, projected and most-likely score, the positive-EV edge with its price, the record behind it, and the full write-up — for this game and every game.
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La Liga
AccuScore's simulation makes Osasuna 63% to win, Malaga 13%, with a 23% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Osasuna the more likely winner at 63%, with a 23% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Osasuna a 63% chance of beating Malaga, with 13% for Malaga and 23% for a draw. Osasuna are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Malaga and Osasuna come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Malaga have won 0 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-D-L-D-L, most recent first).
Osasuna have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 1 (L-L-W-L-D, most recent first).
The teams have met 2 times since 2016: Malaga 0, Osasuna 0, 2 drawn. The last meeting, on Jan 27, 2017, finished Malaga 1, Osasuna 1.