Inter Milan
Atalanta
Win Probability
Moneyline
INT
-149
49.9% win prob
EV -8.3%
Betano
Draw
Draw
+348
27% prob
EV +10.0%
Pinnacle
Moneyline
ATA
+375
23.3% win prob
EV +5.3%
Pinnacle
Inter Milan travel to face Atalanta in a fixture the simulation leans slightly toward the visitors. Over 50,000 simulations, the model projects a closely matched encounter, with the outcome hinging on whether either side can consistently convert chances—a draw appears more likely than a decisive result. On games shaped like this one, AccuScore's record stands at 7 wins in 8 similar matchups. For Atalanta to emerge with three points at home, they would need to reverse the simulation's slight favorite and capitalize on set-piece opportunities where Inter Milan remain vulnerable on the road.
| Book | INT | EV | Draw | EV | ATA | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | -161 | -9.6% | +348 | +10.0% | +375 | +5.3% |
| Betano ↗ | -149 | -8.3% | +345 | +9.6% | +350 | +2.4% |
| bet365 ↗ | -154 | -8.8% | +320 | +6.3% | +350 | +2.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle ↗ | 3.5 | +103 | -23.4% | -125 | +16.4% |
| Betano ↗ | 3.5 | -105 | -24.4% | -111 | +20.2% |
| bet365 ↗ | 3.5 | -110 | -25.0% | -110 | +20.5% |
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Serie A
AccuScore's simulation makes Inter Milan 50% to win, Atalanta 23%, with a 27% chance of a draw.
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Inter Milan the more likely winner at 50%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Atalanta a 23% chance of beating Inter Milan, with 50% for Inter Milan and 27% for a draw. Atalanta are at home but the underdog on these numbers.
How Inter Milan and Atalanta come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Inter Milan have won 4 of their last 5 (L-W-W-W-W, most recent first).
Atalanta have won 1 of their last 5, drawing 2 (L-D-D-L-W, most recent first).