Boston Bruins
8-2
Carolina Hurricanes
8-2
Win Probability
The Boston Bruins travel to face the Carolina Hurricanes in a tight matchup where the simulation leans slightly toward the home side. David Pastrnak projects as the Bruins' most likely contributor, with a 72% chance of earning more than half a point, while Sebastian Aho carries a 58% chance for the Hurricanes. The game turns on secondary scoring: both teams' third and fourth lines will determine whether this stays within a goal, with Jackson Blake at 55% to reach half a point and Pavel Zacha at 49%. On similar matchups at home, AccuScore's record stands at 49% over 2,449 graded games. Boston's path to victory runs through keeping Carolina's depth from breaking through.
| Book | CAR | EV | BOS | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi ↗ | -200 | -10.6% | +146 | +8.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -187 | -9.7% | +155 | +10.6% |
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NHL
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes 53% to beat Boston Bruins (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Carolina Hurricanes the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Carolina Hurricanes a 53% chance of beating Boston Bruins, against 48% for Boston Bruins. Carolina Hurricanes are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How Boston Bruins and Carolina Hurricanes come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Boston Bruins have won 4 of their last 5 (W-L-W-W-W, most recent first).
Carolina Hurricanes have won 3 of their last 5 (L-W-L-W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met 54 times since 2011: Boston Bruins 28, Carolina Hurricanes 26. The last meeting, on Apr 7, 2026, finished Boston Bruins 5, Carolina Hurricanes 6.
Boston Bruins are 525-329 as favourite and 143-168 as underdog, and 317-276 on the road (53% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
Carolina Hurricanes are 437-275 as favourite and 184-266 as underdog, and 354-239 at home (60% of 593 games, 2011–2026).
| Record | BOS | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| As favourite | 525-329 | 437-275 |
| As underdog | 143-168 | 184-266 |
| At home | 357-235 | 354-239 |
| On the road | 317-276 | 280-315 |
Straight-up records from AccuScore's game archive. Favourite and underdog are the market's, decided by the moneyline. How the NHL odds have moved →